Volume 18, No. 2, 2020 Peter Carr, Liuren Wu and Zhibai Zhang Volatility index is a portfolio of options and represents market expectation of the underlying security’s future realized volatility/variance. Traditionally the index weighting is based on a variance swap pricing formula. In this paper we propose a new method for building volatility index by… Read more
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Using Machine Learning to Predict Realized Variance
Volume 18, No. 2, 2020 Peter Carr, Liuren Wu and Zhibai Zhang Volatility index is a portfolio of options and represents market expectation of the underlying security’s future realized volatility/variance. Traditionally the index weighting is based on a variance swap pricing formula. In this paper we propose a new method for building volatility index by… Read more
Using Machine Learning to Predict Realized Variance
Volume 18, No. 2, 2020 Peter Carr, Liuren Wu and Zhibai Zhang Volatility index is a portfolio of options and represents market expectation of the underlying security’s future realized volatility/variance. Traditionally the index weighting is based on a variance swap pricing formula. In this paper we propose a new method for building volatility index by… Read more
The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of Popular Asset Pricing Models
Volume 14, Number 1, 2016 Bradford Cornell and Jason Hsu The assumption that asset prices are determined by the efforts of end investors to maximize intertemporal utility supports a pricing theory that is both elegant and intuitive. Unfortunately, the assumption is counterfactual. End investors, with few exceptions, lack the capacity to behave in a fashion… Read more
The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of Popular Asset Pricing Models
Volume 14, Number 1, 2016 Bradford Cornell and Jason Hsu The assumption that asset prices are determined by the efforts of end investors to maximize intertemporal utility supports a pricing theory that is both elegant and intuitive. Unfortunately, the assumption is counterfactual. End investors, with few exceptions, lack the capacity to behave in a fashion… Read more
The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of Popular Asset Pricing Models
Bradford Cornell and Jason Hsu Volume 14, Number 1, 2016 The assumption that asset prices are determined by the efforts of end investors to maximize intertemporal utility supports a pricing theory that is both elegant and intuitive. Unfortunately, the assumption is counterfactual. End investors, with few exceptions, lack the capacity to behave in a fashion… Read more
Impact of Credit Markets on Dynamic Stochastic Real Aggregate Production
Volume 13, Number 1, First Quarter 2015 Thomas S. Y. Ho and Sang Bin Lee This paper provides a dynamic stochastic macro-financial model that describes the impact of the credit market on real production risk and provides some empirical evidence of the reasonableness of the model. Our model shows that the uncertain real sector output… Read more
Impact of Credit Markets on Dynamic Stochastic Real Aggregate Production
Thomas S. Y. Ho and Sang Bin Lee This paper provides a dynamic stochastic macro-financial model that describes the impact of the credit market on real production risk and provides some empirical evidence of the reasonableness of the model. Our model shows that the uncertain real sector output affects the performance of the credit market… Read more
IMPACT OF CREDIT MARKETS ON DYNAMIC STOCHASTIC REAL AGGREGATE PRODUCTION
Thomas S. Y. Ho and Sang Bin Lee This paper provides a dynamic stochastic macro-financial model that describes the impact of the credit market on real production risk and provides some empirical evidence of the reasonableness of the model. Our model shows that the uncertain real sector output affects the performance of the credit market… Read more
NEW DIRECTIONS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR AND SOVEREIGN RISK MANAGEMENT
Dale Gray and Andreas A. Jobst The global financial crisis that began in 2007 has forced a re-examination of macroeconomics, financial economics, regulation, and risk management. Traditional macroeconomics overlooks the importance of risk which makes it ill-suited to analyze risk transmission, contagion and how risks can build up and suddenly erupt in a full blown… Read more