Downloads

Vol. 20, No. 1, 2022 by Moshe Levy and Haim Levy In the absence of market-timing ability, investors are better-off keeping their asset allocation constant through time. Target-date funds help reduce variation in the asset allocation, by taking into account that human capital, which is a part of the investor’s total portfolio and is typically… Read more

Vol. 20, No. 1, 2022 by Nicholas Apergis, Thomas Poufinas, Alexandros Panagakis and Ioannis Ritsios Institutional investors are investigating systematic, rule-based investment directions other than purely passive investing, such as factor-based investing. This study examines how well the factor-ETFs capture the Fama–French factors and attempts to explain their difference from the smart beta indexes applied… Read more

Vol. 20, No. 1, 2022 by Detelina Vasileva, Larry Norton, Marc Hurlbert and Andrew W. Lo Using survey data gathered from grantees of the nonprofit Breast Cancer Research Foundation (BCRF), we investigated the commercial and non-commercial impacts of their research funding. We found significant impact in both domains. Commercially, 19.5% of BCRF grantees filed patents… Read more

Vol. 20, No. 1, 2022 by Soohun Kim, Robert A. Korajczyk and Andreas Neuhierl We propose new methodology to construct arbitrage portfolios by utilizing information contained in firm characteristics for both abnormal returns and betas (and, therefore, smart-beta risk premiums). Our methodology gives maximal weight to risk-based interpretations of characteristics’ predictive power before any attribution… Read more

Vol. 20, No. 1, 2022 by Megan Czasonis, Mark Kritzman and David Turkington The authors describe a new statistical method for improving forecasting called relevance. They describe their new method from both a conceptual and mathematical perspective, and they show how relevance links regressions to event studies and machine learning algorithms… Read more

Vol. 19, No. 4, 2021 Vineer Bhansali and Jeremie Holdom Option prices theoretically encapsulate participants’ expectations about good state (bullish) and bad state (bearish) market outcomes. By using a mixture of distributions and reasonable assumptions, the authors extract time series of expected returns, volatilities, and mixture probabilities of these outcomes surrounding the current US elections… Read more

Vol. 19, No. 4, 2021 Antti Ilmanen, Ronen Israel, Rachel Lee, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Ashwin Thapar Evaluating how factor premia vary over time and across asset classes is challenging due to limited time series data, especially outside of US equities. We examine four prominent factors across six asset classes over a century. We find… Read more

Vol. 19, No. 4, 2021 J. Benson Durham Narrowing at the front but not the long end of the yield curve, notably in both expected rates and term premiums, forecasts lower mean real GDP growth and widens the distribution. But despite undue emphasis among some practitioners and the popular press on outright inversion and recession… Read more